A new study published in Nature found that Antarctic ice loss is remarkably predictable for the next few decades, but varies by glacier.
Fast reservoir time by Antarctic drainage basin — a measure of how quickly each region responds to melt or ocean forcing, ranging from 11 years on the Antarctic Peninsula to nearly 500 years in parts of East Antarctica. Source: McCormack et al., 2026, Nature; basin boundaries via NASA NSIDC
Near-term Antarctic ice loss is linearly predictable…
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