To forecast Arctic sea ice months ahead, scientists usually simulate the air, the ocean and the ice together. A new program skips all of that.
Using only satellite records of Arctic sea ice coverage, the program predicted the late-summer minimum about as accurately as far more complex forecasting systems.
The program’s creators see it less as a rival than as a yardstick. A complicated model that can’t beat something this simple, they argue, has a serious shortcoming.
Faiq Raees…
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