What Type of Weather Model is Better at Predicting Extreme Weather Events? A New Study Has the Answer | News World

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A new study published in Science Advances stated that AI often fails to predict record-breaking extreme weather events. Extreme weather events, like record heat waves and windstorms, are becoming more frequent with the changing climate.

Kathryn Davies

Having accurate warnings is essential to help protect lives, property and infrastructure. The unprecedented nature of these kinds of events is an issue for AI.

New Research

Scientists compared leading AI models against HRES (High Resolution Forecast), which is one of the world’s leading physics-based weather prediction systems. They built a large database of record-breaking heat, cold and wind events from 2018 and 2020. Researchers cross-referenced the forecasts that HRES and the AI models had made for those years to see which one got the closest to the real outcome.

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